KevinCoxItem


Mediocre day for us here on Monday with a couple of winners and an ice cold double paying $54. 


I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.


Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None


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Aqueduct - 2/20

 

Race  1

1.Midnight Banker

2.Anydayisherday

3.Newyorkciti Dancer

#6 MIDNIGHT BANKER has improved with each and every start, and while some may say "Yeah, but the last came when having blinkers added." True. But it also came in the goo, for which this gal is poorly bred. We like the speed shown from the rail last time out, and like today's slot even better. Toss in that this barn is 14:5-2-1-2 with locally based dirt dashers who crashed the party 14-50 days back & are 5-1 or less ( 1-1 in special weight company ), then what you have here is a single for all those looking to mingle. #2 ANYDAYISHERDAY has only beaten home four in her last three, but there are a couple'a good running lines on the resume', and new bug in town takes over today. #4 NEWYORKCITI DANCER stretches her legs in the afternoon for the first time here, and cal is a half to Arthur's Hope, who's 4-13 at dirt sprints, banking more than 210 large in that department.

 

Race  2

1.American Lincoln

2.Siding Spring

3.Outplay

#2 AMERICAN LINCOLN has only beaten home the chase ambulance in the last duet, but was duking it out down on the inside last time out, and the race two back was a tough one, as all returnees from that heat ( present company excepted ) amassed a cumulative 5:2-1-2 mark in their subsequent outings ( from four different affairs ) w/an average Beyer improvement of 4.6 points. The 12/21 effort was sharp, and this one is live at a price for The Fish. #3 SIDING SPRING is 4:2-1-0 off a break and has the ability to send or rate just a bit. #1 OUTPLAY lost by a head in his lone start when beginning from the inside, and six year old "horse" ( You hang on to 'dem marbles, buddy !! ) is hiked up in class off of a slightly troubled effort. 

 

Race  3

1.Impetuous

2.Power Up Paynter

3.Mission Wrapitup

Watching a "Casablanca/Key Largo" double feature whilst writing away tonight -- doesn't get much better than that... #1 IMPETUOUS overcame a bit of bumping at the start to get the diploma 26 days ago over this oval, and Casse has a snappy 4 for 9 record with optional dirt sprinters who burst through the maiden ranks 17-45 days back & are 10-1 or undah ( $4 x 3 & $8 ). Colt breaks a bit tardily, so will need a sharp beginning. #3 POWER UP PAYNTER went from zero to hero in procuring the sheepskin a couple of months back, and pre-L/O jock returns; sensible. #6 MISSION WRAPITUP has a touch of back class and loses the shades today. 

 

Race  4 

1.Dancers for Token

2.Freedom and Whisky 

3.Moonlight Now

Yes, we have a Robbie Davis lockola today with the #7 DANCERS FOR TOKEN ! Merely by prorating the recent wet track numero to his best over a glib surface, we come up with a number that supersedes anything that anyone in this affair has ever -- or can -- put up. After legging up mall three of his children aboard this son of Big Brown, trainer gives a boos to his future son in law, Trevor McCarthy. This one should sit a perfect trip. #5 FREEDOM AND WHISKY has shown zilch in the mornings, but there's some decent pedigree in the family tree, and needn't be much to make an impression vs. these. #2 MOONLIGHT NOW as good as any for the show dough. 

 

Race  5

1.New Year's Wish

2.Slimey

3.Our Circle of Love

#2 NEW YEAR'S WISH was awful in the Interborough, but is available for purchase this afternoon, and that's of some relevance, as this one won by a country mile the only time she had a "For Sale" sticker attached to her rump, and that occurred at this trip and over this strip. Today's pilot guided this one to victory in their only pairing, and man, oh man, is that 5 for 8 local mark tough to ignore. #5 SLIMEY has gotten the job done in four of her last seven outside of stakes company, and one of those came beneath today's jock. #4 OUR CIRCLE OF LOVE has done her best work @ this dist ( 7:2-4-0 ) and has enough zip to be a factor once again.

 

Race  6 

1.Justice of War

2.Cause of Action

3.Kadens Courage 

#6 JUSTICE OF WAR returned off half the length of a calendar when having the claim tag waived on the first of the month, and that was a smart thing to do, as he got up in time for the first win at 3 to 2. The figaro earned that day was his best one yet and fits well with this group. #2 CAUSE OF ACTION was a so-so 4th when going over the brown stuff for the first time in Philadelphia last month, and the family tree tells us that there may be some room for improvement in today's "2nd off the layoff" try. #5 KADENS COURAGE rounds out the top three ( which is a way of saying "We don't have anything interesting left to say about this one -- or any others."

 

Race  7

1.Petalite

2.Nasty Affair

3.Smiles From Sadie

#2 PETALITE found the blinker addition to his liking 1 1/2 weeks ago, as Donk charge went wire to wire against state bred Mdspwt foes, and drops six lbs. off that win, which is something we've always been fond of. Sometimes when the light bulb comes on it can stay on for a while, and barn has this one properly spotted today. #3 NASTY AFFAIR was kept in jail after the January 20th claim, and returns at the level of the purchase price from that afternoon. Not quite sure why Cancel split the scene with this one, but we like how four next out runners from that heat returned to ring up a 4:1-1-1 ledger next out. #1 SMILES FROM SADIE appears to be one of those "Brides maids in perpetuity" types, as the 15:1-9-0 boxscore belies, so we'll chunk her in the unders once again. 

 

Race  8 

1.Tipazo

2.Combat Ribbon 

3.Oneshotatforever

Tough break for the connections of #5 TIPAZO last week, as he broke loose pre race and ran off, necessitating a late scratch. Was pretty live that day, but that's okay, as he's live here as well. Three consecutive ITM finishes ( with decent figs ) and a decent DRF Formulator stat tell the tale, as Mitch ( 7% day to day ) is 3-8 with locally based mdn. clm. sprinters on the sand who were 1-2-3 16-50 days back ( 7-1 or < ). The winners came back $6, $8 & $9, and Harkie returns. #8 COMBAT RIBBON went for 4X the stud fee at auction ten months ago, owns a nice 383 Tomlinson figure for the dx., and brings some fair works along for the bow. #2 ONESHOTATFOREVER showed vast improvement in the most recent, and although we disagree with Martinez getting the boot, we'd be remiss in excluding. 

  


Aqueduct  ( Winter Meet ):     48-313    ( $449.40 )  Beatable  Favorites  3-12  ( 25.0% )   Favorites Win %:   125-313 ( 40.0% ) ( As of Thursday morning )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2013-2019 Final ) 62-403  ( $555.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-56 ( 32.1% ) Favorite's Win %: 138-403 (34.2%)  +/-: -31.6% against a 16.8% takeout  


Poly Tracks2013-6 (All Final): 85-568          ( $819.20 )  Beatable Favorites : 15-68      ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587      ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2013-9 (All Final):2444-11991 ($20,492.10) Beatable Favorites : 335-1204( 27.8% )Favorite's Win %: 4575-12094 ( 37.8% ) +/-: -14.5%  against a 16.5% takeout


Cumulative Stats   (All Final): 2529-12560 ($21,311.30)  Beatable Favorites : 350-1272( 27.5% )Favorite's Win %: 4738-12681 ( 37.5% ) +/-: -15.1%  against a 16.4% takeout


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